A growth oriented all stock portfolio with strong factor tilt and very low global diversification

Report created on Aug 21, 2024

Risk profile Info

5/7
Growth
Less risk More risk

Diversification profile Info

2/5
Low Diversity
Less diversification More diversification

Positions

This portfolio is super simple: two ETFs, both fully in stocks, with a 70 percent core broad market position and a 30 percent tilt toward smaller cheaper companies. That structure lines up loosely with growth focused benchmarks but adds an intentional small value “boost.” Simplicity is powerful because it’s easy to understand and maintain, and the core holding already mirrors the wider stock market. The tilt creates a clear strategy but also increases tracking error, meaning returns can differ a lot from standard indexes. Someone using this structure could keep the core as the long term anchor while deciding over time whether the 30 percent tilt feels comfortable or needs dialing up or down.

Growth Info

Historically this mix has done very well, with a compound annual growth rate of about 16.9 percent. CAGR, or Compound Annual Growth Rate, is like average speed on a road trip: it smooths big ups and downs into one steady yearly pace. A 10,000 dollar starting amount growing at that rate for ten years would have ended far above many broad market benchmarks, which is extremely strong. The flip side is a max drawdown near minus 38 percent, meaning a big temporary drop from peak to trough during rough markets. Past returns are impressive but not guaranteed, so it’s smart to treat them as a reference, not a promise.

Projection Info

The Monte Carlo analysis, which runs 1,000 different “what if” paths based on historical patterns, shows a very wide range of possible futures. Monte Carlo is basically a simulation engine: it shakes the historical returns like dice to see many potential outcomes. The median result of about 668 percent growth suggests strong long term potential, and even the pessimistic 5th percentile still shows a gain, which is encouraging. But the spread between 56.8 percent and over 1,000 percent highlights big uncertainty. This tool relies on the past to model the future, so it can’t foresee new crises or regime changes. It’s most useful for setting expectations about variability rather than predicting a specific number.

Asset classes Info

  • Stocks
    100%

All of the money sits in one asset class: stocks. That makes the portfolio highly growth oriented but also fully exposed to equity ups and downs. Compared with common benchmarks that blend stocks with bonds or cash, this is more aggressive, with no built in cushion from steadier assets. The upside is maximum participation when markets rise and very clean alignment with long term equity growth. The downside is larger swings and longer recovery periods after big drops. Keeping this setup working well usually means pairing it with a solid emergency fund and being honest about the ability to hold through deep downturns without selling at the worst possible time.

Sectors Info

  • Technology
    25%
  • Financials
    17%
  • Consumer Discretionary
    13%
  • Industrials
    11%
  • Health Care
    8%
  • Telecommunications
    8%
  • Energy
    7%
  • Consumer Staples
    4%
  • Basic Materials
    3%
  • Real Estate
    2%
  • Utilities
    2%

Sector exposure looks fairly close to broad market patterns, with technology, financial services, consumer cyclicals, and industrials taking the lead. That’s normal for modern equity portfolios and overall aligns well with widely followed benchmarks, which is a good sign for diversification within stocks. The tech heavy tilt does mean extra sensitivity to things like interest rate moves and changes in growth expectations, while smaller allocations to defensive areas can make the ride bumpier in recessions. Still, the presence of all major sectors helps reduce risk from any single part of the economy. Keeping roughly benchmark like sector weights is a solid way to avoid big unintended bets on just one theme.

Regions Info

  • North America
    99%

Geographically, the exposure is almost entirely in North America, which keeps things highly focused on a single economic region. That home bias has helped in the last decade because local markets have outperformed many others, but it does mean missing potential diversification from other regions that might shine when North America lags. Benchmarks with global coverage usually hold a noticeable share in overseas markets to spread political, currency, and economic risks. Concentrating in one region keeps things familiar and simple, yet it can increase vulnerability to local downturns or policy changes. Over time, even a modest allocation outside the home region can smooth the ride and broaden opportunity.

Market capitalization Info

  • Mega-cap
    29%
  • Large-cap
    21%
  • Small-cap
    18%
  • Micro-cap
    17%
  • Mid-cap
    14%

The market cap mix ranges from mega cap leaders down to micro cap companies, which is a nice structural strength. Mega and big caps bring stability and deep liquidity, while small and micro caps add more growth potential and volatility. This balance is actually more diversified by size than many standard indexes, thanks to the deliberate tilt toward smaller companies. That tilt can pay off over long horizons but tends to underperform in some cycles, especially when investors favor safety. Accepting that size exposure means being okay with periods where the portfolio lags the broad market, trusting the long term payoff of holding both giants and up and comers.

Risk vs. return

This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.

Click on the colored dots to explore allocations.

On a classic Efficient Frontier chart, which compares risk and return for different mixes of the same ingredients, this portfolio sits as a growth leaning point using only the two chosen funds. The Efficient Frontier is basically the set of “best trade offs” between volatility and average return you can get by shuffling weights around. Here, shifting the balance between the broad market core and the small value tilt could move the position along that curve toward either slightly lower risk or potentially higher expected return with more volatility. “Efficient” in this context only means best possible risk return combo for these exact holdings, not necessarily the best diversification or perfect fit for every personal goal.

Dividends Info

  • Avantis® U.S. Small Cap Value ETF 1.60%
  • Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund ETF Shares 1.10%
  • Weighted yield (per year) 1.25%

The combined dividend yield around 1.25 percent is modest, very much in line with a growth focused equity profile. Dividends are the cash payments companies send to shareholders, and they can provide a small income stream plus a buffer to total returns when prices move sideways. In this setup, most of the long run reward is expected to come from price growth, not high income, which fits goals like wealth building and retirement accumulation. The current yield is reasonable for broad stocks and isn’t a concern. Anyone wanting more income would usually think about complementing this equity base with other income oriented holdings rather than chasing higher yield within the same style.

Ongoing product costs Info

  • Avantis® U.S. Small Cap Value ETF 0.25%
  • Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund ETF Shares 0.03%
  • Weighted costs total (per year) 0.10%

Costs are a real bright spot here. With a total expense ratio around 0.10 percent, the portfolio is significantly cheaper than many active strategies and nicely aligned with low cost best practices. TER, or Total Expense Ratio, is like an annual service fee: lower fees mean more of the return stays in your account instead of going to the fund provider. Over decades, even small differences compound into big dollar amounts. This fee level supports better long term performance and is a strong structural advantage you already have. The main ongoing task is just checking occasionally that fees stay competitive as new, cheaper options appear in the market.

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