The portfolio is heavily skewed towards the Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF, comprising 84.89% of the total allocation. The remaining 15.11% is invested in the Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value ETF. This composition results in a low diversification score, as the portfolio is concentrated in only two ETFs. Such a concentrated approach can lead to higher volatility, as the performance of the portfolio is largely dependent on the U.S. large-cap growth sector. A more diversified allocation across different asset classes and sectors might help reduce risk and provide more balanced growth.
Historically, the portfolio has demonstrated impressive growth with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 22.13%. However, it also experienced a significant maximum drawdown of -34.2%, reflecting the high-risk nature of its composition. The performance was largely driven by a small number of days, with 90% of returns occurring over just 22 days. This indicates that the portfolio's performance is highly volatile and dependent on market timing. To reduce potential losses, consider diversifying the portfolio to include more stable asset classes, which could provide a buffer during market downturns.
Using a Monte Carlo simulation with 1,000 iterations, the portfolio's projected performance shows a wide range of potential outcomes. The 5th percentile suggests a 132.81% return, while the 50th and 67th percentiles project 1,190.65% and 1,852.3% returns, respectively. With 992 simulations yielding positive returns, the portfolio shows strong growth potential. However, the wide range of outcomes also highlights the inherent risk. A Monte Carlo simulation helps visualize potential future performance by considering various market scenarios. Enhancing diversification can help narrow the range of potential outcomes and provide more predictable returns.
The portfolio is almost entirely invested in stocks, with a negligible cash position of 0.058%. This allocation reflects a high-risk, high-reward investment strategy, suitable for investors with a strong risk tolerance. While stocks can offer substantial growth, they are also subject to significant volatility. Integrating other asset classes, such as bonds or real estate, could provide more stability and reduce the overall risk. Diversifying into different asset classes can help balance the portfolio and offer protection against market fluctuations, particularly during economic downturns.
With a dominant focus on technology, which makes up 41.95% of the portfolio, there is a significant sector concentration risk. Other sectors like consumer cyclicals, communication services, and financial services have smaller allocations. This concentration can lead to increased volatility, as the portfolio's performance is heavily reliant on the tech sector's success. To mitigate sector-specific risks, consider diversifying the portfolio across a broader range of sectors. This approach can provide a buffer against sector downturns and contribute to more stable, long-term growth.
The portfolio is predominantly invested in North America, accounting for 99.51% of the geographic allocation. This heavy concentration in one region increases exposure to region-specific risks, such as economic downturns or political instability. While the U.S. market has historically delivered strong returns, diversification into other regions could provide exposure to different growth opportunities and reduce geographic risk. Including investments in developed and emerging markets can help balance the portfolio and offer potential for growth in various economic environments.
This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.
Click on the colored dots to explore allocations.
The portfolio is currently positioned for high risk and high reward, with limited diversification. To optimize it, consider moving along the efficient frontier to achieve a balance between risk and return. This could involve incorporating more diverse asset classes and sectors to reduce volatility. Adjusting the allocation towards more conservative investments can decrease risk, while increasing exposure to growth-oriented assets can enhance returns. Before making changes, assess the portfolio's alignment with financial goals and risk tolerance. Focus on achieving a diversified mix that supports long-term objectives and minimizes unnecessary risks.
The portfolio's overall dividend yield is 0.57%, with the Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value ETF contributing 1.5% and the Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF offering 0.4%. This yield is relatively low, reflecting the portfolio's focus on growth-oriented investments rather than income generation. For investors seeking higher income, consider allocating a portion of the portfolio to dividend-focused investments. This can provide a steady income stream and potentially enhance total returns, especially in market environments where capital appreciation is limited.
The total expense ratio (TER) for the portfolio is 0.07%, which is relatively low and favorable for long-term investment performance. Low costs are advantageous as they allow a greater portion of returns to be retained by the investor. However, it's important to regularly review and ensure that the portfolio remains cost-effective as it evolves. Keeping investment costs low is a key component of maximizing returns over time. Consider periodically evaluating the cost structure of the portfolio to ensure it aligns with investment goals and doesn't erode potential gains.
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