Concentrated two stock portfolio focused on large cap technology with strong historical returns

Report created on Dec 10, 2025

Risk profile Info

5/7
Growth
Less risk More risk

Diversification profile Info

1/5
Single-Focused
Less diversification More diversification

Positions

The portfolio is highly concentrated in two common stocks with 70% in International Business Machines and 30% in Apple and 100% allocated to equities. This single-focused structure departs sharply from a typical balanced benchmark that would include bonds and broader equity exposure. Concentration in very few holdings raises company specific risk, meaning individual corporate events can swing results dramatically. Recommendation: consider diversifying across more issuers and asset classes to reduce idiosyncratic risk while keeping a core equity allocation consistent with a growth profile.

Growth Info

Historic performance shows a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 19.73% and a max drawdown of −35.27%. CAGR, the average annual growth rate if returns were smoothed across years, helps compare performance over time like average speed on a long trip. For example a $10,000 investment growing at 19.73% annually would roughly reach $24,600 after five years illustrating strong past growth. However, the −35% peak-to-trough decline highlights significant downside risk. Recommendation: treat past CAGR as context not a guarantee and plan for potential deep but recoverable drawdowns.

Projection Info

A Monte Carlo simulation run with 1,000 scenarios produced a median end value near 1,303.2% and a 5th percentile outcome of 167.4%. Monte Carlo simulates many possible futures by randomly drawing returns from historical patterns to show a range of outcomes rather than a single forecast. It helps see tail risks and variability, but depends on historical behavior and assumptions about return distributions which may not hold. Recommendation: use simulations to inform expectations but combine them with scenario planning and stress tests for rare severe events.

Asset classes Info

  • Stocks
    100%

The portfolio is 100% equities with no allocation to bonds, real assets, or cash equivalents. That contrasts with common benchmark mixes which include fixed income to damp volatility and provide income. Full equity exposure increases potential long-term returns but also raises short-term volatility and sequence-of-returns risk for near-term liabilities. Recommendation: align asset-class mix with the intended time horizon and risk capacity; adding even a modest allocation to lower-volatility assets can materially reduce short-term drawdowns without drastically cutting long-term growth.

Sectors Info

  • Technology
    100%

Sector exposure is 100% technology which is a notable concentration relative to broad market benchmarks where technology is typically a fraction of total weight. Sector concentration means the portfolio will be particularly sensitive to sector-specific shocks such as rapid changes in interest rates, regulatory shifts, or cyclical demand. For example tech-heavy portfolios can face above-average volatility during rising-rate environments. Recommendation: broaden sector exposure to include defensively oriented and cyclical sectors to reduce reliance on a single industry’s performance.

Regions Info

  • North America
    100%

Geographic allocation is fully North America which is materially narrower than global benchmarks that include Europe, Asia, and emerging markets. Geographic concentration reduces benefits of regional diversification which can smooth returns if different economies cycle independently. Being North America only increases exposure to regional political or economic shocks. Recommendation: introduce international exposure to access diverse growth drivers and currency diversification while balancing any home-bias preference.

Market capitalization Info

  • Mega-cap
    100%

Market capitalization exposure sits entirely in mega-cap stocks, which are typically more liquid and have established business models but may offer lower relative growth potential compared with small or mid caps. Mega-cap dominance helps with trading efficiency and lower single-stock volatility relative to smaller companies, yet it limits capture of higher growth segments that smaller caps can provide. Recommendation: consider modest allocations to mid- and small-cap exposures to improve growth diversification while monitoring liquidity and risk characteristics.

Risk vs. return

This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.

Click on the colored dots to explore allocations.

An Efficient Frontier optimization, which finds the best expected return for a given level of risk among current assets, suggests an improved expected return of 24.86% at a risk level of 24.49%, versus the current 24.66% annualized return. The Efficient Frontier is a tool to identify portfolios delivering the highest expected return per unit of risk given available assets. This improvement is modest and limited to reallocations between the same two stocks. Recommendation: greater efficiency gains likely require adding new uncorrelated assets rather than only reweighting the existing concentrated holdings.

Dividends Info

  • Apple Inc 0.40%
  • International Business Machines 2.20%
  • Weighted yield (per year) 1.66%

The portfolio’s blended dividend yield is 1.66% with Apple at 0.40% and IBM at 2.20%. Dividends contribute to total return through regular cash flow and can provide a cushion in down markets. For a growth-oriented allocation, these yields are modest and secondary to capital appreciation. Reinvesting dividends can compound returns over time. Recommendation: consider dividend reinvestment to enhance compounding or tilt toward higher-yielding diversified income instruments if current income is a goal.

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