Your portfolio is heavily weighted towards equities, with a significant 45% allocation to an S&P 500 ETF, indicating a strong focus on large-cap U.S. stocks. The rest is diversified across international and U.S. small-cap value ETFs. This structure suggests a growth-oriented strategy with an attempt at broad diversification across geographies and market capitalizations. However, the exclusive focus on stocks increases volatility and risk, particularly in the absence of bonds or other asset classes that could offer a buffer during market downturns.
Historically, your portfolio has shown a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 15.78%, which is impressive. The maximum drawdown of -38.01% highlights the risk associated with a high-equity portfolio, especially during market corrections. The days contributing most to returns indicate significant gains are concentrated in short periods, emphasizing the importance of staying invested through market cycles to capture these spikes.
Monte Carlo simulations, using historical data to forecast future scenarios, show a wide range of outcomes with a median 548.7% growth. While encouraging, it's critical to remember that such projections are speculative and depend heavily on past performance, which is not a reliable indicator of future results. The high percentage of simulations with positive returns underscores the growth potential but doesn't eliminate the risks of loss.
Your portfolio is entirely invested in stocks, with no allocation to bonds, cash, or other asset classes. This aligns with a growth-focused strategy but increases exposure to market volatility. Diversifying across different asset classes can reduce risk and smooth out returns over time, potentially offering a more stable growth trajectory, especially during turbulent market phases.
The sector allocation shows a concentration in technology, financial services, and consumer cyclicals, which are sectors often associated with higher growth but also higher volatility. While this sectoral spread can offer significant upside during bullish markets, it's important to be aware of the increased risk during economic downturns or sector-specific shocks.
Geographically, your portfolio is predominantly North American with meaningful exposure to developed markets in Europe and Japan. This geographical distribution supports diversification, reducing the risk tied to any single economy. However, the negligible exposure to emerging markets may limit potential growth opportunities available in these rapidly developing regions.
The market capitalization breakdown includes a mix from mega to micro-cap stocks, which is beneficial for diversification. This range suggests a strategy that balances the stability of large-cap companies with the growth potential of small and micro-cap firms. However, the higher allocation to larger caps indicates a slightly more conservative stance within the equity component of the portfolio.
The high correlation between the Avantis® International Equity ETF and Avantis® International Small Cap Value ETF suggests redundancy, limiting the benefits of diversification. Identifying and reducing overlapping holdings can enhance portfolio efficiency by reducing unnecessary exposure to similar risk factors.
This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.
Click on the colored dots to explore allocations.
Considering the Efficient Frontier, optimizing your portfolio involves reducing overlap and potentially introducing non-correlated assets to achieve a better risk-return balance. The current focus on equities, while growth-oriented, exposes you to significant market volatility. Diversification across asset classes, not just within equities, could improve your portfolio's efficiency.
The dividend yields across your ETFs contribute to the portfolio's total income, with the international small-cap value ETF offering the highest yield. While dividends provide a steady income stream and can help mitigate some volatility, the overall yield is relatively modest, reflecting the growth orientation of the portfolio rather than a focus on income.
The Total Expense Ratios (TERs) of the ETFs in your portfolio are relatively low, with the exception being the international small-cap value ETF. Low costs are crucial for long-term growth, as they directly impact net returns. Your portfolio benefits from a competitive cost structure, enhancing its potential for favorable returns over time.
Select a broker that fits your needs and watch for low fees to maximize your returns.
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