Das Risikoprofil, abgeleitet aus vergangenen Marktschwankungen, zeigt das Risiko, dem das Portfolio ausgesetzt bist. Diese Bewertung hilft dabei, Deine Investitionen mit Deinen finanziellen Zielen und Deiner Risikobereitschaft in Einklang zu bringen.
Das Diversifikationsprofil bewertet die Verteilung von Anlagen über verschiedene Anlageklassen, Regionen und Branchen. Diese Bewertung hilft dabei, Risiken zu reduzieren, Renditen zu maximieren und eine Überkonzentration in einem einzelnen Bereich zu vermeiden.
Wachstumsorientierte Anleger
This portfolio suits a growth-oriented investor with a high risk tolerance, seeking substantial capital appreciation over the long term. Such an investor is comfortable with market volatility and potential drawdowns, understanding that significant returns often come with increased risk. The focus on technology and U.S. markets aligns with those looking for dynamic growth opportunities. A long investment horizon is ideal, allowing time to weather market fluctuations and capitalize on potential gains.
The portfolio consists of a mix of ETFs and a common stock, emphasizing technology and growth. With 40% in the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF and 25% in the iShares U.S. Technology ETF, there's a clear focus on tech-driven growth. Tesla Inc. and the VanEck Semiconductor ETF further amplify this tech inclination. A small allocation to the iShares Bitcoin Trust adds a touch of alternative investment. The Vanguard International High Dividend Yield ETF offers some diversification with international exposure. This composition suggests a growth-oriented strategy, seeking high returns but accepting higher volatility.
Historically, this portfolio has performed exceptionally well, boasting a CAGR of 37.16%. This indicates strong growth potential, driven primarily by its tech-heavy allocation. However, the max drawdown of -13.4% suggests vulnerability during market downturns. The fact that 90% of returns are made up by just 11 days highlights the portfolio's reliance on high-impact days, often seen in tech-heavy investments. While past performance is not indicative of future results, this suggests a high-risk, high-reward scenario, suitable for those comfortable with volatility in pursuit of growth.
Using a Monte Carlo simulation, which models potential future portfolio performance through numerous random scenarios, the portfolio shows promising future growth. With a hypothetical initial investment, the median projection indicates a 34,915.72% return, while the 5th and 67th percentiles show a vast range of possible outcomes. This highlights the portfolio's potential for substantial growth, albeit with significant risk. The annualized return from simulations stands at 62.64%, suggesting strong future performance, but investors should be prepared for volatility and varying outcomes.
The portfolio primarily consists of stocks, making up 94.88% of its allocation, with a small 5.03% in other assets, including the Bitcoin ETF. This heavy stock allocation aligns with a growth-oriented strategy, aiming for capital appreciation. The minor cash position indicates minimal liquidity for immediate needs. Such a concentration in stocks suggests a willingness to accept higher risk for potentially higher returns. For those seeking more stability, diversifying into bonds or other asset classes could help balance risk and reward.
Technology dominates the portfolio, accounting for 46.04% of the allocation. Other sectors like consumer cyclicals and financial services have smaller representations, with the remaining sectors each contributing less than 10%. This sector allocation indicates a strong belief in the tech sector's growth potential. However, it also increases vulnerability to sector-specific downturns. To mitigate this risk, consider diversifying into underrepresented sectors, which could provide stability and reduce dependency on tech performance.
Geographically, the portfolio is heavily skewed towards North America, with 83.62% exposure. This reflects a strong focus on the U.S. market, which has been a significant driver of global growth. While this concentration can capitalize on U.S. economic strength, it also exposes the portfolio to regional risks. Diversifying into other regions, such as emerging markets or Europe, could enhance global exposure and reduce reliance on North America, potentially smoothing returns across various economic cycles.
The portfolio exhibits high correlation among its tech-focused assets, notably the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF, iShares U.S. Technology ETF, and VanEck Semiconductor ETF. This correlation means these assets tend to move in the same direction, amplifying both gains and losses. While this can boost returns during tech sector rallies, it also heightens risk during downturns. Reducing correlation by including assets from different sectors or asset classes could enhance diversification and provide a more balanced risk-return profile.
The portfolio's overall dividend yield is 1.04%, with the Vanguard International High Dividend Yield ETF contributing the most at 4.5%. This suggests a primary focus on capital growth rather than income generation. While dividends can provide a steady income stream, the low yield aligns with the growth-oriented strategy of the portfolio. Investors seeking higher income might consider increasing exposure to dividend-focused assets, which could provide more consistent cash flow alongside capital appreciation.
The total expense ratio of 0.18% reflects a relatively low-cost structure, a positive aspect for long-term growth. The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF, with a 0.03% cost, is particularly cost-effective. However, the iShares U.S. Technology ETF and VanEck Semiconductor ETF have higher costs, at 0.4% and 0.35% respectively. Keeping costs low is crucial as they can erode returns over time. Investors should continue to monitor expense ratios and consider lower-cost alternatives if they align with their investment strategy.
Dieser Chart zeigt die Efficient Frontier, berechnet auf Basis deiner aktuellen Positionen mit unterschiedlichen Gewichtungen. Er hebt das beste Verhältnis zwischen Risiko und Rendite hervor, basierend auf historischen Daten. "Effiziente" Portfolios maximieren die Rendite für ein gegebenes Risiko oder minimieren das Risiko für eine gegebene Rendite. Portfolios unterhalb der Kurve sind weniger effizient. Diese Grafik dient nur zu Informationszwecken und stellt keine Empfehlung zum Kauf oder Verkauf von Wertpapieren dar.
The current portfolio is not on the efficient frontier due to its high concentration in correlated tech assets. The efficient frontier represents the optimal risk-return balance, and this portfolio's overlap in tech may not fully capitalize on diversification benefits. While optimizing for diversification could reduce risk, the strong growth focus aligns with the investor's high-risk appetite. Balancing tech with uncorrelated assets could improve the risk-return profile, but this may not be necessary if the investor is comfortable with the current risk level.
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