El perfil de riesgo, derivado de las fluctuaciones pasadas del mercado, muestra el riesgo al que está expuesta la cartera. Esta evaluación ayuda a armonizar sus inversiones con sus objetivos financieros y su propensión al riesgo.
El perfil de diversificación evalúa la distribución de las inversiones entre distintas clases de activos, regiones y sectores. Esta evaluación ayuda a reducir los riesgos, maximizar los rendimientos y evitar la concentración excesiva en una sola área.
Inversores cautelosos
This portfolio suits an investor with a cautious risk tolerance, focused on steady growth and moderate income. It is ideal for individuals seeking long-term capital appreciation with a globally diversified approach. The portfolio's structure balances equity growth potential with the stability of bonds and gold, catering to those who prioritize risk management. Investors with a long-term horizon who prefer a hands-off approach will find this portfolio aligns well with their investment goals and risk preferences.
The portfolio is primarily composed of ETFs, with a heavy emphasis on global equities. The largest position is the Lyxor UCITS MSCI All Country World C-EUR, making up 40% of the portfolio, indicating a strong global focus. The remaining assets are distributed among European equities, Indian equities, consumer staples, and short-duration corporate bonds, with a small allocation to physical gold. This composition aligns with a cautious risk profile, balancing growth potential with stability. However, there is a notable concentration in equities, which may expose the portfolio to market volatility.
Historically, the portfolio has performed well, achieving a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.99%. This performance is impressive given its cautious risk classification, suggesting a well-balanced approach to growth and risk management. The maximum drawdown of -13.17% indicates resilience during market downturns, which is crucial for risk-averse investors. However, it's important to note that past performance does not predict future results, and market conditions can change. Monitoring performance against benchmarks can help ensure the portfolio remains aligned with investment goals.
Forward projections using Monte Carlo simulations indicate a promising outlook, with an annualized return of 11.19%. Monte Carlo simulations use historical data to estimate a range of potential outcomes, helping investors understand possible future performance. Notably, 998 out of 1,000 simulations resulted in positive returns, highlighting the portfolio's robustness. However, these projections are based on historical trends and assumptions, which may not hold true in the future. Regularly reviewing and adjusting the portfolio based on changing market conditions can help optimize outcomes.
The portfolio's asset allocation is heavily skewed towards stocks, which account for nearly 90% of the total assets. This high equity exposure suggests a focus on capital growth, but it may also increase volatility. The remaining allocation includes bonds and other assets, providing some diversification. Compared to common benchmarks, this allocation is aggressive for a cautious profile. Consider increasing exposure to bonds or alternative assets to mitigate risk and smooth out returns, especially during market downturns.
Sector allocation is well-distributed, with significant exposure to technology, consumer defensive, and financial services. This diversification helps mitigate sector-specific risks and aligns with global market trends. However, the portfolio is slightly tech-heavy, which could lead to higher volatility during periods of interest rate hikes or regulatory changes. Balancing sector weights by considering underrepresented areas such as utilities or real estate could enhance diversification and reduce risk.
Geographic exposure is concentrated in North America and Europe, which together account for over 70% of the portfolio. This aligns with global benchmarks but may limit exposure to emerging markets, which can offer higher growth potential. The portfolio's limited allocation to regions like Asia and Latin America suggests a conservative approach to geographic diversification. Exploring opportunities in underrepresented regions could enhance growth prospects and reduce reliance on developed markets.
The portfolio includes several highly correlated assets, such as the Amundi S&P 500 UCITS ETF and iShares MSCI ACWI UCITS ETF. High correlation means these assets tend to move together, which can reduce diversification benefits. During market downturns, correlated assets may not provide the desired risk mitigation. Consider replacing some overlapping assets with those that have lower correlation to improve diversification and potentially enhance returns while maintaining the current risk level.
The portfolio's total expense ratio (TER) is 0.35%, which is relatively low and supports better long-term performance by minimizing costs. Lower costs mean more of the portfolio's returns are retained by the investor, enhancing compounding effects over time. The highest TER is associated with the Lyxor MSCI India UCITS ETF at 0.85%. Consider evaluating whether lower-cost alternatives could achieve similar exposure without sacrificing performance. Regularly reviewing and optimizing costs is a key strategy for maximizing returns.
This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.
The portfolio could benefit from optimization using the Efficient Frontier, which aims to achieve the best possible risk-return ratio with the current assets. The optimal portfolio has an expected return of 14.06%, significantly higher than the current expected return. By adjusting asset allocations, particularly addressing highly correlated assets, the portfolio can improve its efficiency. It's important to note that optimization focuses on the current asset set and allocation changes, not necessarily diversification or other goals.
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Invertir implica riesgos. Los usuarios deben ser conscientes de que el valor de las inversiones puede fluctuar y que los rendimientos pasados no son garantía de resultados futuros. Las decisiones de inversión deben basarse en objetivos financieros personales, tolerancia al riesgo y una evaluación independiente de la información relevante.
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