El perfil de riesgo, derivado de las fluctuaciones pasadas del mercado, muestra el riesgo al que está expuesta la cartera. Esta evaluación ayuda a armonizar sus inversiones con sus objetivos financieros y su propensión al riesgo.
El perfil de diversificación evalúa la distribución de las inversiones entre distintas clases de activos, regiones y sectores. Esta evaluación ayuda a reducir los riesgos, maximizar los rendimientos y evitar la concentración excesiva en una sola área.
Inversores de crecimiento
This portfolio is suitable for an investor with a high-risk tolerance, seeking aggressive growth and willing to accept significant volatility. It is ideal for those with a long investment horizon, aiming to capitalize on market upswings. Such an investor is likely focused on capital appreciation rather than income generation. They should be comfortable with the potential for substantial drawdowns and have the patience to weather market fluctuations, understanding that higher risk can lead to higher returns over time.
The portfolio is heavily weighted towards U.S. large-cap stocks, with almost half of the assets in the Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF. This indicates a strong focus on growth potential. However, the diversification is quite low, with limited exposure to international markets and other asset classes. This composition may lead to higher volatility and risk. To enhance diversification, consider adding more varied asset classes and international exposure, which could potentially stabilize returns and reduce risk.
Historically, this portfolio has shown an impressive compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15.2%, which suggests strong past performance. However, it has also experienced a significant maximum drawdown of -33.14%, indicating vulnerability during market downturns. The portfolio's returns are concentrated in a small number of days, highlighting its reliance on market timing. To mitigate risk, a more balanced allocation could be beneficial, potentially smoothing out returns and reducing the impact of market volatility.
Using a Monte Carlo simulation with 1,000 iterations, the portfolio's future performance was projected. The simulation shows a wide range of potential outcomes, with an annualized return of 14.13%. The 5th percentile indicates a 66.41% return, while the 67th percentile suggests a 603.56% return. This variability underscores the high-risk nature of the portfolio. To achieve more predictable outcomes, consider diversifying investments to include lower volatility assets, which could help in managing risk and achieving long-term goals.
The portfolio is overwhelmingly composed of stocks, accounting for 99.9% of the allocation. This heavy reliance on equities suggests a high-risk, high-reward strategy. While stocks can offer substantial growth, they also come with significant volatility. Introducing other asset classes, such as bonds or real estate, could provide stability and reduce overall portfolio risk. A more balanced asset allocation can help in achieving a smoother return profile and protect against market downturns.
The portfolio's sector allocation is heavily skewed towards technology, which makes up over 36% of the portfolio. This concentration can lead to increased risk, particularly if the tech sector faces a downturn. Other sectors like healthcare, financial services, and consumer cyclicals have moderate representation. To mitigate sector-specific risks, consider diversifying across a broader range of industries. A more balanced sector allocation can help in reducing volatility and enhancing the portfolio's resilience to market changes.
Geographically, the portfolio is primarily focused on North America, with 97.4% of the assets allocated there. This lack of international exposure limits potential growth opportunities and increases vulnerability to regional economic downturns. Expanding geographic diversification by including more international markets could enhance growth potential and reduce risk. A broader geographic allocation can provide access to different economic cycles and growth drivers, potentially leading to more stable returns.
The portfolio shows high correlation among its assets, particularly among U.S.-focused ETFs like the Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF and Vanguard S&P 500 ETF. This correlation can amplify risk during market downturns, as assets tend to move in the same direction. To achieve better diversification, consider including assets with lower correlation, which can help in reducing overall portfolio volatility. A diversified portfolio with low-correlated assets can provide a smoother ride through market fluctuations.
The portfolio's overall dividend yield stands at 1.23%, with the Schwab International Equity ETF offering the highest yield at 3.7%. While dividends can provide a steady income stream, the portfolio's yield is relatively low, reflecting its growth-oriented strategy. For investors seeking income, increasing exposure to higher-yielding assets could enhance cash flow. Balancing growth and income strategies could provide a more comprehensive approach, catering to both capital appreciation and regular income needs.
The portfolio's total expense ratio (TER) is impressively low at 0.04%, indicating cost-efficiency. Low costs can significantly impact long-term returns, allowing more of the portfolio's gains to compound over time. Keeping investment costs minimal is a sound strategy, but it's also crucial to ensure that cost savings don't compromise diversification or risk management. Maintaining a focus on cost-effective investments while exploring additional diversification opportunities could enhance overall portfolio performance.
This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.
Portfolio optimization involves finding the efficient frontier, where the highest expected return is achieved for a given level of risk. Currently, the portfolio's high correlation and low diversification suggest it is not on the efficient frontier. Enhancing diversification across asset classes, sectors, and geographies could move the portfolio closer to optimal efficiency. This would involve balancing risk and return more effectively, potentially leading to better long-term performance without unnecessary risk exposure.
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Invertir implica riesgos. Los usuarios deben ser conscientes de que el valor de las inversiones puede fluctuar y que los rendimientos pasados no son garantía de resultados futuros. Las decisiones de inversión deben basarse en objetivos financieros personales, tolerancia al riesgo y una evaluación independiente de la información relevante.
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