El perfil de riesgo, derivado de las fluctuaciones pasadas del mercado, muestra el riesgo al que está expuesta la cartera. Esta evaluación ayuda a armonizar sus inversiones con sus objetivos financieros y su propensión al riesgo.
El perfil de diversificación evalúa la distribución de las inversiones entre distintas clases de activos, regiones y sectores. Esta evaluación ayuda a reducir los riesgos, maximizar los rendimientos y evitar la concentración excesiva en una sola área.
Inversores de crecimiento
This portfolio suits a growth-oriented investor with a moderate to high risk tolerance and a long-term horizon. It emphasizes capital appreciation through U.S. equities, making it ideal for those seeking significant growth potential. However, the lack of diversification suggests that the investor should be comfortable with market volatility and willing to withstand potential downturns for higher returns. This approach is best for individuals focusing on wealth accumulation over time.
The portfolio consists of four ETFs, each contributing 25% to the overall allocation. This equal distribution among small-cap, large-cap, mid-cap, and total market ETFs provides a balanced exposure to the U.S. equity market. However, the lack of diversification across asset classes and regions may expose the portfolio to sector-specific risks. A more diversified portfolio typically includes a mix of asset classes such as bonds, real estate, or international equities to mitigate risk and enhance stability.
Historically, the portfolio has demonstrated a strong CAGR of 17.4%, indicating robust growth over time. However, the maximum drawdown of -38.01% suggests significant volatility, which can be concerning for risk-averse investors. Comparing this performance to common benchmarks, the portfolio has outperformed in terms of growth but with higher risk. It's important to remember that past performance is not a guarantee of future results, and the portfolio's volatility should be carefully considered.
The Monte Carlo simulation, which uses historical data to predict future outcomes, shows a wide range of potential end values for the portfolio. With a median return of 659.58% and a high probability of positive returns, the outlook is optimistic. However, the 5th percentile value of 52.3% highlights potential downside risks. Simulations provide a range of outcomes but rely on past data, which may not fully capture future market conditions. Thus, while projections are promising, they should be interpreted with caution.
The portfolio is heavily concentrated in stocks, with over 99% allocation, and a negligible cash position. This single asset class focus can lead to higher returns but also increases vulnerability to market downturns. Diversification across asset classes, such as including bonds or real estate, can help balance risk and improve long-term stability. A typical benchmark might have a more balanced allocation, with a mix of equities and fixed income to cushion against volatility.
Sector allocation is skewed towards technology, which makes up nearly 26% of the portfolio. While this sector has driven significant growth, it also introduces higher volatility, especially in rising interest rate environments. A more balanced sector allocation could reduce risk and enhance diversification. Comparing this to benchmark indices, which often have a more even sector distribution, highlights the need for potential rebalancing to mitigate sector-specific risks.
The portfolio is overwhelmingly focused on North American equities, with over 99% allocation. This lack of geographic diversification may limit exposure to growth opportunities in other regions and increase vulnerability to U.S. market-specific risks. A more globally diversified portfolio, aligned with common benchmarks, often includes a mix of developed and emerging markets to capture broader economic growth and reduce regional risk.
The portfolio includes highly correlated ETFs, particularly the Vanguard Total Stock Market and Mid-Cap Index Funds. High correlation means these assets tend to move together, which can limit diversification benefits. To enhance diversification, consider replacing one of these with an asset that has a lower correlation to the rest of the portfolio. This adjustment can help manage risk by ensuring that not all investments react the same way to market changes.
The portfolio's overall dividend yield is 1.18%, which provides a modest income stream. This yield is driven by the small-cap and mid-cap ETFs, which typically offer higher dividends. While dividend income can be beneficial, especially in volatile markets, it's important to balance yield with growth potential. Investors seeking income might consider increasing exposure to higher-yielding assets, while those focused on growth may prioritize capital appreciation.
With a Total Expense Ratio (TER) of 0.09%, the portfolio is cost-efficient, minimizing the drag on returns. Lower costs are beneficial for long-term performance, as they compound over time. It's worth noting that the Schwab and Vanguard ETFs in the portfolio have particularly low expense ratios, which is a positive alignment with best practices. Maintaining a focus on cost-effective investments can enhance net returns and support financial goals.
This chart shows the Efficient Frontier, calculated using your current assets with different allocation combinations. It highlights the best balance between risk and return based on historical data. "Efficient" portfolios maximize returns for a given risk or minimize risk for a given return. Portfolios below the curve are less efficient. This is informational and not a recommendation to buy or sell any assets.
The portfolio could benefit from optimization using the Efficient Frontier, which seeks the best risk-return balance based on current holdings. However, before optimizing, addressing the high correlation between assets is crucial. By diversifying and adjusting allocations, the portfolio can achieve a more efficient risk-return ratio. Remember, optimization focuses on the current assets and may not address diversification goals, so it's important to consider the broader investment strategy.
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Invertir implica riesgos. Los usuarios deben ser conscientes de que el valor de las inversiones puede fluctuar y que los rendimientos pasados no son garantía de resultados futuros. Las decisiones de inversión deben basarse en objetivos financieros personales, tolerancia al riesgo y una evaluación independiente de la información relevante.
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